Model transparency
Quality in numbers,
not in promises
We publish only metrics backed by a sufficient verifiable sample. Missing numbers are never replaced with marketing estimates.
The historical test sample on this server is still too small. Offline metrics will appear after at least 100 completed matches are imported. Real forward results from users are shown below.
Real user analyses
Quality by sport
We count one first prediction made before each event starts. Percentages appear after 10 verified events, a quality verdict after 30.
Football
Preliminary dataVerified12 / 30
Accuracy41,7%
Brier0,5869
Independent model: 5Market only: 10Awaiting results: 0Log loss: 0,9791
Breakdown by version
| Version | Mode | Verified | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|
probability-engine-v2 | On-demand statistical model | 2 / 2 | — | — |
probability-engine-v2 | Market | 9 / 9 | — | — |
probability-engine-v3 | On-demand statistical model | 1 / 1 | — | — |
probability-engine-v4 | On-demand statistical model | 0 / 2 | — | — |
probability-engine-v4 | Market | 0 / 1 | — | — |
Tennis
Too little dataVerified1 / 30
Accuracy—
Brier—
Metrics will appear after 10 verified events.
Independent model: 0Market only: 2Awaiting results: 0
Breakdown by version
| Version | Mode | Verified | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|
probability-engine-v2 | Market | 1 / 1 | — | — |
probability-engine-v3 | Market | 0 / 1 | — | — |
Ice hockey
Too little dataVerified1 / 30
Accuracy—
Brier—
Metrics will appear after 10 verified events.
Independent model: 0Market only: 1Awaiting results: 0
Breakdown by version
| Version | Mode | Verified | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|
probability-engine-v4 | Market | 1 / 1 | — | — |